Volatility transmission and spillover dynamics across financial markets: the role of geopolitical risk
نویسندگان
چکیده
Abstract This paper examines the effect of geopolitical risk (GPR) on return and volatility dynamics in Middle East North African (MENA) countries by using an ADCC-GARCH model a spillover approach. Unlike previous studies, we include GPR index to capture associated with wars, terrorist acts, political tensions. Moreover, test for both static dynamic analysis rolling window. In brief, findings highlight that does not contribute spillovers among MENA financial markets. However, provides evidence high level responsiveness total major events (e.g., Arab Spring uprising tension between Qatar other Gulf Cooperation Council countries). More interestingly, Qatar, Kingdom Saudi Arabia, United Emirates are identified as main transmitters rest Overall, our results essential understanding impact countries, particular importance policymakers, market regulators, portfolio managers investors.
منابع مشابه
The Influence of Structural Changes in Volatility on Shock Transmission and Volatility Spillover among Iranian Gold and Foreign Exchange Markets
متن کامل
A framework for Measuring the Dynamics Connections of Volatility in Oil and Financial Markets
Investigating connections between financial and oil markets is important for investors and policy makers. This knowledge allows for appropriate decision making. In this paper, we measure the dynamic connections of selected stock markets in the Middle East with oil markets, gold, dollar index and euro-dollar and pound-dollar exchange rates during the period February 2007 to August 2019 in networ...
متن کاملMultivariate Volatility and Spillover Effects in Financial Markets
The relationship between volatility and risk has been one of the main factors underlying the interest in volatility modelling. An important question for international diversification is whether shocks in one market influence, or have spillovers into, returns and volatility in other markets. This paper tests for the existence of volatility spillovers among the S&P 500, FTSE 100 and Nikkei 225 st...
متن کاملEmpirical Analysis of Volatility Spillover Effects in International Financial Markets
Volatility spillover effect in international financial markets is one of the principal issues that widely attract academic and industrial scholars’ attention. Through constructing a binary GARCH-BEKK model, this study empirically tests the volatility effects among stock market, gold market, WTI crude oil futures market and spot market, and concludes that there is bidirectional volatility spillo...
متن کاملthe role of russia in transmission of energy from central asia and caucuses to european union
پس ازفروپاشی شوروی،رشد منابع نفت و گاز، آسیای میانه و قفقاز را در یک بازی ژئوپلتیکی انرژی قرار داده است. با در نظر گرفتن این منابع هیدروکربنی، این منطقه به یک میدانجنگ و رقابت تجاری برای بازی های ژئوپلتیکی قدرت های بزرگ جهانی تبدیل شده است. روسیه منطقه را به عنوان حیات خلوت خود تلقی نموده و علاقمند به حفظ حضورش می باشد تا همانند گذشته گاز طبیعی را به وسیله خط لوله مرکزی دریافت و به عنوان یک واس...
15 صفحه اولذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Annals of Operations Research
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['1572-9338', '0254-5330']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-021-04081-5